Lightning vs. Penguins Prediction & Picks - Jan. 13

The Tampa Bay Lightning (28-13-3), winners of six road games in a row, visit the Pittsburgh Penguins (21-14-9) at PPG Paints Arena on Tuesday at 7 p.m. ET on ESPN+.

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Before watching this matchup, here is our prediction for which club will take home the victory in Tuesday's hockey action.

In the past 10 contests, the Penguins have put up a 7-3-0 record after totaling 36 total goals (six power-play goals on 24 power-play opportunities during that span, for a success rate of 25.0%). Their opponents have scored a combined 23 goals in those games.

Lightning vs. Penguins Predictions for Tuesday

Our computer projections model for this game expects a final score of Penguins 4, Lightning 3.

  • Moneyline Pick: Penguins (+118)
  • Total Pick: No Pick - Predicted Margin Negligible
  • Spread Pick: Penguins (+1.5)

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Lightning Splits and Trends

  • The Lightning are 5-3-8 in overtime matchups as part of a 28-13-3 overall record.
  • In the 16 games Tampa Bay has played that were decided by one goal, it has a 7-7-2 record (good for 16 points).
  • In the three games this season the Lightning scored only one goal, they finished 0-2-1.
  • Tampa Bay has scored a pair of goals in 10 games this season (3-5-2 record, eight points).
  • The Lightning are 25-4-0 in the 29 games when they have scored at least three goals (to register 50 points).
  • In the 15 games when Tampa Bay has scored a single power-play goal, it went 10-3-2 to record 22 points.
  • In the 22 games this season in which it has outshot its opponent, Tampa Bay is 11-9-2 (24 points).
  • The Lightning have been outshot by opponents 21 times, and went 16-4-1 (33 points).

Penguins Splits and Trends

  • The Penguins have a 4-9-13 record in overtime contests this season and a 21-14-9 overall record.
  • In the 14 games Pittsburgh has played that were decided by one goal, it racked up 14 points.
  • This season the Penguins scored only one goal in four games and they've earned two points (0-2-2) in those contests.
  • Pittsburgh has earned three points (0-4-3 record) this season when scoring a pair of goals .
  • The Penguins have earned 46 points in their 29 games with at least three goals scored.
  • Pittsburgh has scored a single power-play goal in 17 games this season and has recorded 19 points from those matchups.
  • When it outshoots its opponent this season, Pittsburgh has posted a record of 8-10-5 (21 points).
  • The Penguins' opponents have had more shots in 17 games. The Penguins finished 9-4-4 in those contests (22 points).

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Team Stats Comparison

Lightning Rank Lightning AVG Penguins AVG Penguins Rank
2nd 3.57 Goals Scored 3.16 13th
2nd 2.59 Goals Allowed 2.95 11th
20th 27.2 Shots 28.8 10th
7th 26.4 Shots Allowed 27.6 12th
16th 19.86% Power Play % 28.57% 3rd
6th 83.33% Penalty Kill % 82.31% 8th

Lightning vs. Penguins Game Time and TV Channel

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